The center of the eye of Typhoon Fabian was estimated based on all available data at 740 km East Northeast of Itbayat, Batanes.
It has maximum sustained winds of 130 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 160 km/h, and central pressure of 970 hPa.
Typhoon Fabian is unlikely to directly bring heavy rainfall in the country throughout the forecast period.
Under the influence of the Southwest Monsoon being enhanced by “FABIAN” and Severe Tropical Storm “CEMPAKA” estimated at 1,030 km West of Extreme Northern Luzon or in the vicinity of Yangjiang, Guangdong, China (outside the PAR) (21.9°N, 111.4°E), monsoon rains will be experienced in the next 24 hours over Ilocos Region, Cordillera Administrative Region, Batanes, Babuyan Islands, Zambales, Bataan, Tarlac, Pampanga, Bulacan, Metro Manila, Cavite, Batangas, Occidental Mindoro, and the northern portion of Palawan (including Calamian and Kalayaan Islands).
Due to the uncertainty in the later portion of the track forecast of Typhoon Fabian, the hoisting of Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal #1 over Batanes and Babuyan Islands remains a possibility. Residents and disaster managers in Batanes and Babuyan Islands are advised to continuously monitor the tropical cyclone bulletins.
Typhoon Fabian slightly decelerates
In the next 24 hours, under the influence of the enhanced Southwest Monsoon and “FABIAN”, rough to very rough seas (2.5 to 4.5 m) will be experienced over the seaboard of Batanes and Babuyan Islands, and the western seaboard of Palawan (including Kalayaan and Calamian Islands) and Occidental Mindoro (including Lubang Islands).
Moderate to rough seas (1.5 to 3.0 m) will also prevail over the eastern and the rest of the northern and western seaboards of Luzon. Sea travel is risky for small seacrafts over these waters. Mariners without the proper experience should immediately seek safe harbor.
Typhoon Fabian will track west southwestward until tomorrow (22 July) morning, westward for the remainder of tomorrow through Friday (23 July) morning, then generally northwestward for the remainder of Friday through the end of the forecast period.
On the forecast track, “FABIAN” will pass close or make landfall in the vicinity of Yaeyama, Miyako, and Senkaku Islands of the Ryukyu Archipelago on Friday before exiting the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Saturday (24 July) morning.