Typhoon Rolly intensifies further as it moves westward over the Philippine Sea, raising tropical cyclone wind signal no.1 over Catanduanes.
At 4:00 PM today, the eye of Typhoon “ROLLY” was located based on all available data at 980 km East of Casiguran, Aurora (16.2 °N, 131.3 °E ).
It is moving Westward at 20 km/h with maximum sustained winds of 185 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 230 km/h.
Typhoon Rolly is forecast to move west-southwestward this afternoon until tomorrow evening. Afterwards, the typhoon will turn west-northwestward as it moves over the sea off the coast of Bicol Region towards the eastern coast of Aurora-Quezon area.
On the forecast track, the center of the eye of “ROLLY” is likely to make landfall over the Aurora-Quezon area on Sunday evening or Monday early morning.
The typhoon is forecast to continuously intensify over the Philippine Sea and is likely to make landfall at intensity of 175-195 km/h.
Today through tomorrow morning, the trough of the typhoon and the northeasterly surface windflow will bring light to moderate with at times heavy rains over Bicol Region, Eastern and Central Visayas, Caraga, Northern Mindanao, Zamboanga Peninsula, Batanes, Cagayan, Isabela.
The typhoon will likely bring heavy to intense rains over Northern and Central Luzon and Bicol Region, especially those areas along the track of “ROLLY”, beginning tomorrow or Sunday.
Signal no.1 raised in Catanduanes as ‘Rolly’ intensifies further
Strong breeze to near gale conditions will be experienced in areas under Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal (TCWS) #1 within 36 hours of the raising of the wind signal. TCWS #1 may be raised over the northern portion of Northern Samar and the rest of Bicol Region in the next bulletin.
Given that it is likely for this typhoon to continue intensifying prior to landfall, the highest possible TCWS that will be raised throughout the passage of this typhoon will be TCWS #4 (associated with destructive to very destructive typhoon-force winds).
Storm surge: A storm surge of up to 2.0 m may be experienced over the coastal areas of Aurora, Quezon, Marinduque, Bicol Region, and Northern Samar.
At 4:00 PM today, the Tropical Storm “ATSANI” outside PAR was estimated at 1,865 km East of Visayas (11.1 ºN, 142.8 ºE). It has maximum sustained winds of 65 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 80 km/h. It is moving west-northwestward at 35 km/h.