Typhoon Rolly continues to intensify rapidly and is nearing the Super Typhoon category, Pagasa said on its severe weather bulletin issued 11 pm, October 30.
At 10:00 PM today, the eye of Typhoon “ROLLY” was located based on all available data at 895 km East of Casiguran, Aurora.
It moves West Southwestward at 15 km/h with maximum sustained winds of 215 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 265 km/h.
On the forecast track, Rolly will move west-southwestward tonight through tomorrow evening. On Sunday, it will gradually turn towards the west-northwest, bringing its inner rainbands-eyewall region near or over Catanduanes and the Camarines Provinces during the morning and afternoon hours and over the Quezon-Aurora area during the evening hours.
The center of the eye of the typhoon is forecast to pass very close to or over the Calaguas Islands on Sunday afternoon and make landfall over the Quezon-Aurora area on Sunday evening. After crossing Central Luzon, the center of “ROLLY” is forecast to exit the mainland Luzon landmass on Monday morning.
Rolly underwent extremely rapid intensification over the last 24 hours and is now near the Super Typhoon category threshold. Owing to very favorable conditions, there is an increasing likelihood that Rolly will reach Super Typhoon category over the next 12 hours.
Rolly nearing Super Typhoon category – Pagasa
Rolly is forecast to be near Super Typhoon strength (185-215 km/h) by time it passes very near to Bicol Region and makes landfall over the Aurora-Quezon area. After landfall, “ROLLY” is forecast to weaken considerably but will remain at typhoon category until it emerges over the West Philippine Sea.
Tonight through tomorrow morning, the trough of “ROLLY” will bring light to moderate with at times heavy rains over Visayas, Palawan including Cuyo Islands, Zamboanga Peninsula, Northern Mindanao, Caraga, and Sulu Archipelago. Between tomorrow late evening and Sunday evening, heavy to intense rains due to “ROLLY” will be experienced over Bicol Region, CALABARZON, Metro Manila, Marinduque, and the northern portions of Occidental and Oriental Mindoro.
Flooding (including flash floods), rain-induced landslides, and sediment-laden streamflows (i.e. lahar) may occur during heavy or prolonged rainfall, especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards.
In anticipation of strong breeze to near gale conditions associated with the approaching typhoon, more areas are now placed under TCWS #1. The wind signal in some provinces in the Bicol Region will be upgraded to TCWS #2 in the next bulletin as damaging gale-force to storm-force winds is expected to affect these areas within 24 hours from tomorrow early morning.
Based on the intensity forecast, the highest possible wind signal will be TCWS #4.