PH warned vs. sudden spike of COVID-19 cases after ‘plateau’

The highest number of new COVID-19 cases in Indonesia was recorded on Tuesday, reaching more than 47,000. COVID-19 cases are said to have hit there because of the more contagious Delta variant.

Before this, it also plateaued for several months or remained at the same level as the case in Indonesia.

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“Hindi na nila ito naipababa further. So nag-plateau sila around this level, na 5,000 plus for nearly 3 months,” said Edson Guido, head of ABS-CBN Data Analytics.

“Nagkaroon nga ng holiday sa Indonesia, nag-coincide nga sa end of Ramadan, so this is around mid-May. Nagkaroon ng movement and travel ang mga tao. By June, nag-start na ‘yong increase ng cases,” said Guido.

The plateau experienced by Indonesia in the early part of the year is said to be experienced by the Philippines as well.

Based on the 7-day average cases, the trend of the Philippines and Indonesia can be seen to be similar.

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So we have to be more careful in this situation, especially since the cases are still higher today than before the surge.

“Hindi talaga magandang nagpa-plateau ang bansa at such a high level. Kasi 5,000 cases are still 5,000. Mataas pa rin siya,” said Guido.

PH warned vs. sudden spike of COVID-19 cases after ‘plateau’

“Kapag sa 5,000 ka tinamaan ng surge which is now made even worse by the presence ng mas nakakahawang Delta variant… hindi talaga magiging maganda ang magiging resulta nito,” he added.

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If there is any good news, it is in the better position of the Philippines compared to Indonesia, Malaysia, and Thailand when it comes to the trend of cases.

But according to OCTA Research fellow Fr. Nic Austriaco, it is not yet time to ease the quarantine status, especially in Metro Manila, where the trend of the COVID-19 cases is currently plateau.

“All of these have to be better in order to prepare for a possible Delta arrival,” said Austriaco.

Last week, Cabinet Secretary Karlo Nograles said the Philippines would receive 16 million -19 vaccines this month.

In August, the country will receive 14 million doses of the vaccine.

The list of priority areas also includes Bacolod, Iloilo, Cagayan De Oro, Baguio, Zamboanga, Dumaguete, Tuguegarao, General Santos, Naga, and Legazpi.

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