The OCTA Research group believes that Metro Manila will soon reach the “peak” of recorded COVID-19 cases per day in the region.
“Baka less than 5,000 peak natin tapos magsisimula nang bumaba. ‘Pag patuloy na yang bumababa, we’re seeing September pababa na talaga by end of September. Baka by October makakapagluwag na tayo,” said fellow Guido David.
(Maybe we will have less than 5,000 peaks, and then it will start to go down. If it continues to go down, we see September go down really by the end of September. Maybe by October, we can relax.)
But David warned, we still need to be careful “because this trend is still reversible.”
In fact, their report shows that the reproduction number is dropping to 1.53 percent of NCR.
But even if it drops, it is still considered in the critical range.
Five cities in Metro Manila saw critical ICU utilization rates, while seven areas considered high ICU utilization rates.
Treatment czar Leopoldo Vega, on the other hand, insisted that the situation in Manila is at moderate risk.
But compared to the number of patients now and in March and April, he said, there were more patients then.
‘Peak’ of COVID-19 cases in Metro Manila nears – OCTA Research
They also estimate that the number of recorded daily COVID-19 cases will reach more than 20,000.
David added that they see the trend of COVID-19 cases slowing down in the region, even in critical areas such as Cagayan De Oro and Cebu City.
“Baka magkaroon na ng downward trend sa Cebu City by first week of September. Sa NCR din baka magkaroon na ng downward trend, maaari by 1st week or 2nd week of September. hindi ngayon, hindi pa bukas, sa projection namin, medyo malapit na yan,” said David.
(There may be a downward trend in Cebu City by the first week of September. In NCR, there may be a downward trend, possibly by the 1st week or 2nd week of September. not today, not yet tomorrow. In our projection, that’s pretty close.)
The expert reminded that local governments should further strengthen active case finding, contact tracing, and testing.
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