In its severe weather bulletin issued at 08:00 am, Monday, July 13, Carina is moving westward at 20 km/h with maximum sustained winds of 45 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 55 km/h.
At 7:00 AM today, the center of Tropical Depression the tropical depression was estimated based on all available data at 275 km East of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan (17.7 °N, 124.3 °E).
The center of Tropical Depression “CARINA” is forecast to turn northwestward and move over the Luzon Strait, passing close to the northeastern portion of Cagayan and Babuyan Islands between tonight and tomorrow morning. However, accounting for the forecast track probability cone, a landfall scenario over these areas remains a possibility.
This tropical depression is forecast to weaken into a Low Pressure Area on Wednesday.
Pagasa updates Tropical Depression Carina
Moderate to heavy rains over Babuyan Islands and the eastern section of mainland Cagayan and Isabela. Light to moderate with at times heavy rains over Ilocos Region, Cordillera Administrative Region, the rest of Cagayan Valley, Aurora, and the northern portion of Quezon including Polillo Islands.
Flooding and rain-induced landslides may occur during heavy or prolonged rainfall especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards. The public and disaster risk reduction and management offices are advised to take appropriate measures and monitor the Rainfall or Thunderstorm Advisories or Heavy Rainfall Warnings of PAGASA Regional Services Divisions.
The areas under Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal #1 may experience occasional gusts due to the Tropical Depression: Batanes,Babuyan Islands,and the northeastern portion of mainland Cagayan (Santa Ana,Gonzaga,Santa Teresita,Buguey,eastern Lal-lo,eastern Gattaran,and eastern Baggao).
Moderate to rough seas (1.2-3.1 m) will be experienced over the northern and eastern seaboards of Luzon in the next 24 hours. Those with small seacrafts are advised not to venture out to sea.
- 24 Hour(Tomorrow morning): 70 km East Northeast of Calayan, Cagayan(19.5°N, 122.1°E)
- 48 Hour(Wednesday morning):285 km North of Basco, Batanes( 23.0°N, 121.7°E)