The number of new COVID-19 cases per day will likely reach more than 20,000, the OCTA Research Group said this Sunday.
The group had previously announced that the number of new cases per day could possibly hit 20,000, but now they estimate it could be higher.
“‘Di pa naman siguro natin masasabi na aabot ng 25,000. Pero it’s very possible na hihigit 20,000, by a few thousands,” said Dr. Guido David of OCTA.
(We can’t say yet that it will reach 25,000. But it’s very possible that more than 20,000, by a few thousand.)
According to David, it is possible to see the “peak” of new cases in September’s first or second week.
This is after the Philippines recorded 19,441 additional cases of COVID-19 on Saturday, the highest since the pandemic began.
This Sunday, the number of new cases was 18,528 for a total of 1,954,023, of which 143,221 were active cases.
The Department of Health (DOH) also reported this Sunday an additional 516 cases of the more infectious Delta variant for a total of 1,789.
Of the new Delta cases, 473 are local cases, mostly with addresses in Metro Manila, Calabarzon, Central Luzon, and Northern Mindanao.
New COVID-19 cases likely to reach 20,000 per day: OCTA
The DOH also reported 73 new cases of Alpha variant, 81 Beta variant, and 41 P.3 variant first detected in the Philippines.
Like India and other countries that have passed through the Delta, David sees that the storm will also subside if the government responds well and the public cooperates.
“Optimistic pa rin naman ako na by the fourth quarter, October, maayos na ‘yong situwasyon natin,” said David.
(I am still optimistic that our situation will be fine by the fourth quarter, October.)
According to David and ABS-CBN Data Analytics head Edson Guido, based on the vaccination rate, up to 60 to 70 percent of Metro Manila’s population may be vaccinated before the end of the year.