Metro Manila may be at “low risk” for COVID-19 by the end of October, the OCTA Research Group said this Sunday.
OCTA Research fellow Guido David explained that there are only 2,000 7-day average cases in Metro Manila so far.
“Maaaring by end of October, maaaring nasa low risk na ang NCR (National Capital Region), based sa criteria namin,” said David.
He also said that many local government units (LGUs) in NCR are at “moderate risk,” particularly Malabon, Caloocan, and Manila, where the average daily attack rate is already low.
If this continues, it is expected that only about 1,000 cases will be recorded in Manila.
By November, it could still drop to 500 cases per day.
David is optimistic that this will continue until Christmas, especially since many have been vaccinated in Metro Manila. There is also no new threat of variant of concern in the country.
But despite this, OCTA saw an increase in cases throughout northern Luzon, including the Cordillera Administrative Region and Ilocos and Cagayan Valley regions.
In the latest OCTA reports, Baguio is one of the cities with the highest daily COVID-19 cases.
The LGU in Baguio continues to enforce strict border control for non-essential travel.
It is said that more than 100 travelers are blocked at the city borders every day.
Metro Manila possibly ‘low risk’ in COVID-19 by end of October: OCTA
Tourism Secretary Bernadette Romulo-Puyat advised the public to check the travel protocols at the destination so as not to be intercepted.
According to Puyat, tourism has already opened in some places such as Boracay, Siargao and El Nido in Palawan.
The Department of Health and Inter-Agency Task Force will hold a meeting this week to discuss new rules in the country.
The Nikkei based their study on the infection rate, the rollout of vaccines, and the mobility of people.
According to the Department of Health (DOH), it is not a bad thing that almost 30 percent of Filipinos are vaccinated, especially since the world continues to experience a low supply of vaccines.
DOH intends to write Nikkei Asia.