The reproduction number, or the number of infections per COVID-19 positive, has dropped slightly in the National Capital Region (NCR), according to the OCTA Research Group.
NCR was among the 3 groups of areas that saw the fastest case increase.
In the group’s report, the region’s reproduction number dropped to 1.39. The spread of the virus slows down when this number drops.
They also said that the reproduction number might drop to 1 in the third week of September based on the current trend.
Even before this happens, expect the number of new cases to continue to rise.
According to the Department of Health (DOH), the slowing increase in cases may be related to a greater number of people being vaccinated.
But the slowing down of infection is not the only thing that depends on it.
“We were also able to push down numbers because of our improvements, call to improve our masking, shielding, and physical distancing,” said DOH epidemiology bureau director Alethea de Guzman.
COVID-19 reproduction number in NCR decreases: OCTA
“Isang malaking contribution talaga ‘yong pagpapaigsi ng panahon na ang isang close contact ay na-detect at ating na-isolate at quarantine,” she added.
De Guzman said the number of cases would increase first before it completely decreases after two or three weeks.
“‘Pag pinaganda ang active case finding, tataas po talaga ang kaso pero dapat ito ay masusundan ng pagbaba na po makaraan ng 2 o 3 linggo,” said De Guzman.
As of Thursday, the Philippines recorded 16,621 additional COVID-19 cases for a total of 2,020,484, of which 146,510 are active cases or still ill.
DOH said a total of 92 duplicates had been excluded from the cumulative total. Seventy-eight of those were recoveries, while 1 is a fatality.
Meanwhile, five laboratories failed to submit data on time, it added.