Auring weakened into a Low Pressure Area at 11:00 AM today prior to crossing the Rapu-Rapu Islands, Albay.
It is forecast to move northwestward to westward and may traverse Bicol Region, southern Quezon, Marinduque, and northern Mindoro in the next 24 hours. There is an increasing likelihood of the disturbance dissipating while traversing Southern Luzon.
At 1:00 PM today, the center of the Low Pressure Area (LPA)(formerly “Auring”) was estimated based on all available data Over the coastal waters of Rapu-Rapu, Albay. It has maximum sustained winds of km/h near the center and gustiness of up to km/h.
Today, there will be moderate to heavy with at times intense rains over Bicol Region, Quezon, Marinduque, and Romblon. The Low Pressure Area will bring light to moderate with at times heavy rains over Aurora, Rizal, Laguna, Northern Samar, and the rest of MIMAROPA.
Tomorrow, there would be moderate to heavy rains over Camarines Norte, Quezon, and Aurora. Light to moderate with at times heavy rains over Metro Manila, the rest of CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, Camarines Sur, Bulacan, Nueva Ecija, Isabela, Cagayan including Babuyan Islands, and Batanes.
Under these conditions, isolated to scattered flooding (including flash floods) and rain-induced landslides are still likely during heavy or prolonged rainfall especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards as identified in hazard maps and in localities that received significant rainfall over the past couple of days.
Auring weakens into Low Pressure Area
Adjacent or nearby areas may also experience flooding in the absence of such rainfall occurrence due to surface runoff or swelling of river channels.
PAGASA Regional Services Divisions may issue local thunderstorm/rainfall advisories and heavy rainfall warnings while the Hydrometeorology Division and River Basin Flood Forecasting and Warning Centers may issue General Flood Advisories and Basin Flood Bulletins as appropriate.
Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal #1 is now lifted. However, the Northeast Monsoon will continue to bring strong breeze conditions over Batanes, Babuyan Islands, Aurora, and Quezon.
Moderate to rough seas (1.2 to 3.1 m) will be experienced over seaboards of the country. Mariners of small seacrafts are advised to take precautionary measures when venturing out to sea. Inexperienced mariners should avoid navigating in these conditions.